The Future of the German-American Relationship with Russia
National elections in both the United States and Germany coming in the next year will have major implications for western policy on Russia. Germany under Chancellor Angela Merkel has shaped the western response to Russia’s aggression in Ukraine. As she will be leaving the scene after the federal election in the fall of 2021, questions about the continuity of German and European policies regarding sanctions, nuclear strategy, and NATO’s posture in the Baltic states will be open. Will her successor have the same commitment to Merkel’s policies and where might we expect changes? The U.S. presidential and congressional elections will also have major implications for Russia policy. What are the prospects of a second Trump administration or a Biden presidency for American policy on Russia, including the contentious Nord Stream 2 pipeline and NATO nuclear and conventional deterrence?