Polling and the 2021 Bundestag Election
What Is the Data Telling Us?
As the campaign for the next Bundestag enters the last hectic weeks, political scientists and pollsters are intensively scrutinizing public opinion data in the hopes of forecasting what we can expect on the evening of September 26th. What are the most salient polling trends thus far? How are the various chancellor candidates assessed? What issues and cleavages seem important? Given some issues with the accuracy of polls in the last few years, what measures are pollsters taking to ensure accuracy this time?
Dr. Yvonne Schroth, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Dr. Peter Matuschek, FORSA
Prof. Dr. Thorsten Faas, Otto Suhr Institute of Political Science, Freie Universität Berlin
Moderator: Dr. Eric Langenbacher, Senior Fellow; Director, Society, Culture & Politics Program, AICGS
Yvonne Schroth is managing director at the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen e.V. She was research associate at Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 1999-2007. She was also a research associate at the Department for Sociology at the University of Heidelberg, where she obtained her doctorate. She has authored publications on election research and survey research methods.
Peter Matuschek is Director of the Department of Political Research at the research institute forsa, Berlin. Since 2007, he is responsible for research projects on elections and public opinion on all levels of the political system as well as for reporting on polling results and consulting. Peter Matuschek also regularly collaborates as political analyst with different media and scientific
institutions. Before joining forsa, Peter Matuschek worked at the Center for European and North American Studies, Göttingen, the University of Potsdam and the Mannheim Center for European Social Research. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Göttingen.
Thorsten Faas is a professor of political science at the Free University (FU) of Berlin. Before joining the Free University in 2017, he was a professor political science at the University of Mainz and a junior professor of political science at the University of Mannheim. He holds a PhD from the University of Duisburg-Essen. In his work, he focuses on elections, electoral behavior and electoral campaigns.
This webinar is supported by the AICGS Harry & Helen Gray Culture and Politics Program and the Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany. It is presented in partnership with The Aston Centre for Europe, Aston University, Birmingham, UK; the International Association for the Study of German Politics; and the BMW Center for German and European Studies, Georgetown University.