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| Testing the system |
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| mwiggins (9/20/2006 10:32:36 AM) |
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Testing the system to see if this is a possible solution to 'responses to essays' for Jack. Possible solution? TBD
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| A big chance |
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| mfallet (10/12/2005 4:08:59 AM) |
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We got it. Angela Merkel is supposed be the eighth chancellor of Bundesrepublik Deutschland. The first female chancellor, the first from East Germany. Next week the formal negotiations between CDU/CSU and SPD will start, t
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| And the Winner is: Merkel (Again) |
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| Ulrich Speck (10/10/2005 10:14:24 AM) |
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It’s done. Merkel is in, Schröder is out.
The price for Merkel’s chancellorship is that her program of market oriented reform will not be realized.
The formula in German political discourse is that her “neo-liberalism” (american style) has failed, as CDU/CSU and FDP didn’t get a majority of votes. The policy of “social justice”, on the other hand, has been strengthened. “Social justice” is a code-word for a state who co
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| Last minute theories |
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| Susanne Schulz (10/9/2005 2:15:03 PM) |
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Angela Merkel, Gerhard Schröder, Edmund Stoiber and Franz Müntefering meet today (Sunday) at 8 pm and will keep on talking until tomorrow morning. Further talks that would lead to a decission about the next chancellor will start tomorrow morning at 11 am. Before that, in the wee hours of the morning divers committees of both parties will meet to discuss the intermediate results of the previous night. Now, that decission is delaid a second time, some more rumors and last minute theories occu
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| Rumors in Berlin |
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| mfallet (10/8/2005 5:28:58 PM) |
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Sunday evening. Probably then or Monday morning we will know who will be chancellor for the next four years. Still CDU/CSU and SPD are finding out how the land lies. The parties are maintaining silence, and it is said, after the next meeting on Sunday evening Merkel, Stoiber, Schröder and Müntefering will provide the final decision. Then the real coalition negotiations could start. Hope
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| Delay of Showdown |
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| Susanne Schulz (10/7/2005 11:01:19 AM) |
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Still the poker goes on, who would be chancellor. But: no decision and not the slightest annotation before sunday about the K-Frage. The most possible solution is that Gerhard Schröder will not stay in office. His claim is just the joker in the game that pushes the price. And the Union (CDU/CSU) has to pay. The SPD tries to get some of the more attractive ministries and already achieved some compromises of political contents. Some SPD members even recommend Schröder as vice-chancellor a
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| Rumors and Options |
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| Ulrich Speck (10/7/2005 6:21:26 AM) |
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After the top meeting of the top politicians - Schröder, Müntefering, Merkel, Stoiber - on Thursday evening, nothing has changed, at least for the public. No public comments about the negotiations.
The talks have to be interrupted, on Sunday they will meet again, it’s said. Why that break? What is more important than the forming of the German government? For what reason the nation has to accept that delay? It’s the birthday of a good old friend of German chancellor, Vladi
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| Time to Say Goodbye |
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| Ulrich Speck (10/5/2005 11:28:17 AM) |
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Today, there was a new round of talks between the top politicians of SPD and CDU/CSU. The result: Both sides declared that they agree on many points. Concerning the question of chancellorship, there will be, very soon ("sehr, sehr zeitnah"), a new round. In this round with only Schröder, Müntefering, Merkel and Stoiber will strike through the Gordian knot, in a way that permits both sides to save its face.
My prediction is the following: The next round will take place on
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| Tactical Games: Why Schröder is Retarding his Retreat |
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| Ulrich Speck (10/3/2005 4:00:44 PM) |
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After the by-election in Dresden has taken place on Sunday, the tactical positioning continues. Schröder does not retreat from his claim to stay in office, even if CDU has won a further mandate in parliament, Bundestag. But he is describing his claim in very different words than he did on the evening of September 18. Since the week after the elections, Schröder is in fact mugged by reality and has accepted that he has not got a new mandate.
In an interview with RTL television, he s
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| Confusion takes over |
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| Susanne Schulz (10/2/2005 10:18:28 AM) |
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The past few days irritating news swept through the newspapers. Fraction members of SPD, CDU and CSU express their differing opinions about coalition talks and the chances who would become chancellor. The way Gerhard Schröder and Angela Merkel verbalize their aims changes and is interpreted in vague ways. Schröders camp now uses the formulation "We wish him to be chancellor" instead of "He must be chancellor". Meanwhile Merkel tries to enrich her speeches with more
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| Will DresdenŽs re-election make things clearer? |
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| mfallet (10/2/2005 9:16:11 AM) |
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More and more the support CDU/CSU gave to chancellor candidate Angela Merkel is diminishing. She yet has been scolded for appointing Paul Kirchof as a member of the Competence Team. But now animadversion on MerkelŽs election campaign strategies increases: She was too much concentrating on economic policy instead of social issues, s
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| Negotiations and rumors |
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| mfallet (9/29/2005 4:28:03 PM) |
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Yesterday there was a second meeting of CDU/CSU- and SPD-politicians ? they call it probe discussion. It had been a constructive, serious meeting they said afterwards. They talked about matters like the financial situation in Germany and the social security system. But the C-Ques
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| When Maths Trump Rhetoric: Gerhard Schröder is Losing the Game |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/28/2005 4:08:16 AM) |
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Ten days after the German elections, one thing seems to be clear: Schröder will not become chancellor again. In an interview last Sunday he gave up his aggressive stance, saying that what counts are the political issues, not the persons. Early this week he declared that he would do everything in favor of a grand coalition. There are more and more voices in Schröder’s SPD that make clear that his party is not united behind the claim that Schröder should be reelected. Kurt Beck, SPD’s
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| Neither Merkel, nor Schröder? |
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| mfallet (9/24/2005 6:00:54 PM) |
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The carousel of candidates for chancellorship is turning on and on. A grand coalition b
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| Person or Program? |
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| Susanne Schulz (9/24/2005 10:56:20 AM) |
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One question repeats itself since weeks and is after the election still vital. Do voters decide because of the program or because of persons? What does this unclear election result mean? Politicians argue one time, that electors have decided about commuters allowance, night shift premium or tax models. Another time they argue, Angela Merkel or Gerhard Schröder have clearly been deselected or Paul Kirchhof had been the problem in voters eyes. This argumentation ignores that the sovereign doe
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| Foreign Minister Schily? |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/23/2005 12:26:42 PM) |
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Today, Merkel and Stoiber talked with the Greens. Result: no chance for a “Jamaica”-coalition of CDU, FDP and the Greens. The leftist wing in the Green party is much stronger than the liberal wing; Greens are used to blame “neoliberalism” for “social coldness”. Joschka Fischer today in an interview confessed the “leftist” orientation of the Green party.
So the last chance is - a grand coalition between both big “VolksparteienR
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| A New Chapter: Perspectives for Germany |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/22/2005 7:38:31 AM) |
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German elections in 2005 mark a further step away from old Bundesrepublik, maybe even the final act. Red-Green was the last “project” of old Bundesrepublik - the marriage of working class socialism with the ecological concerns of late industrial society.
The seven years of the red-green coalition are over now. Joschka Fischer, the central figure of that “project”, has set a clear signal on T
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| Germany's Political Crisis Has U.S. Roots |
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| Admin (9/21/2005 1:09:24 PM) |
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Markus Walker and David Crawford write for the WSJ that Germany"s post election political situation is American made.
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| Jamaica and Traffic Lights |
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| Admin (9/21/2005 10:34:15 AM) |
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Der Spiegel's daily take ponders the Jamaica, Traffic Light, and Grand coalitions.... Hugh Williamson writes for the Financial Times about the Greens refusal to abandon platform for power...
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| Standoff after election day |
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| mfallet (9/20/2005 5:07:14 PM) |
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The Germans voted and only some hours later they turn to be dissatisfied with die result. Foreign newspapers wrote, the electorate produced nothing else but chaos. That?s right.
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| Who Will Get His Knife Out? |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/20/2005 7:35:21 AM) |
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On day two after the elections, the situation has not changed: No coalition in sight. All the scenarios that are possible seem to be blocked. The party leaders have made clear statements that rule out a stable government. Nobody seems to be prepared to make a move.
At least not on the top level, at least not in public. We can only speculate on what happens inside the parties, and we can be sure that many politicians in the second row are working on alternative scenarios - scenarios
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| Which Way Now? |
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| tvstein (9/20/2005 2:12:04 AM) |
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Andreas Cremer, Bloomberg online, writes that the Dresden vote will not likely alter the election result... Richard Bernstein and Judy Dempsey, NY Times, write about the hardening deadlock... The BBC reports on Merkel's request for her party's vote of confidence (full text)
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| The Mess |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/19/2005 1:40:28 PM) |
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On the day after the elections, there is not very much that is clear in German politics. Everybody is completely confused - political leaders, political commentators alike. Or even shocked. That’s unusual for a country that hates nothing more than insecurity, especially when it comes to the future.
Let’s try to get some facts straight. We had elections, but not a result, at least not a clear one. Both, Schröder as well as Merkel, have not mandate, at least not with thei
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| What color has my coalition? |
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| mfallet (9/19/2005 8:06:28 AM) |
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Tomorrow evening, 6 pm, the first extrapolations are going to be published. Normally politicians stop campaigning on Friday before election Sunday. But this time the top candidates want to fight for the votes of the indecisive until 5.59 pm. Still it is unclear who is going to make it. There are several options of a future governing coalition: black-yellow (CDU/CSU and FDP) ? which is as likely as a grand coalition of CDU/CSU and SPD with Merkel as chancellor. Red-green, this is quite sure, wonŽ
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| And the winner is ... |
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| sschulz (9/19/2005 1:31:55 AM) |
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And the winner is ... well, there is none. Although, the results are clear: CDU/CSU are the strongest fraction in the new Bundestag with 35,2 percent. But together with their dream coalition partner FDP, who really gained in this election (9,8 %) Merkel cannot get the necessary majority to become chancellor. In addition to that, Gerhard Schörders SPD won competing 34,2 percent. But his dream coalition partner, the Greens, just gained 8,1 percent. The result is: The SPD has lost a lot (-
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| ELECTION LIMBO |
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| ADMIN (9/19/2005 1:26:15 AM) |
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Clair Murphy writes for the BBC Online on the election outcome: "The Worst of All Worlds" ... Craig Whitlock writes for the Washington Post on divided German voters... Carsten Volkery of Der Spiegel (English) writes about the (full text)
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| The interim result |
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| sschulz (9/18/2005 10:24:55 AM) |
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Today at about 6 pm european time, the first results will be released, the first discussions about wether a grand coalition is possible or not will start. But the result won't be the final one. In Dresden, capital citiy of saxony, 219.000 voters are barred from the election. One candidate, Kerstin Lorenz, of the right-wing extremist party NPD (Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands) has died. Now all ballot papers in the electoral district Dresden 1 have to be exchanged, which will take at
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| Socialdemocrats and the weather |
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| mfallet (9/17/2005 3:43:31 PM) |
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Tomorrow evening, 6 pm, the first extrapolations are going to be published. Normally politicians stop campaigning on Friday before election Sunday. But this time the top candidates want to fight until 5.59 pm. About 20 percent of the electorate are supposed to be inecisive. Still it is unclear who is going to make it. (full text)
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| What do German Voters Think |
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| Admin (9/16/2005 3:24:54 PM) |
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BBC up close: view of four German voters. Oliver Bradely writes for the European Jewish Press: Elections views of the German Jewish community.
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| A troubled campaigner |
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| Admin (9/16/2005 8:02:17 AM) |
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Mark Landler from the New York Times on the last campaign events before the election (9/16/05)
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| Who wants to rule? |
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| Admin (9/15/2005 5:26:30 PM) |
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As Mareike has pointed out, no one knows what is going to happen - more thoughts from Michael Scott Moore from the SPIEGEL
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| Re-election after the re-election? |
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| mfallet (9/15/2005 4:24:56 PM) |
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People are dissatisfied. The unemployment rate is high. Economy is in a depression. But the Majority of Germans - 51 percent - doesn't feel that a change of government would be the
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| What's in the press |
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| Admin (9/14/2005 3:57:20 PM) |
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Michael Scott Moore from the SPIEGEL (9/14/05) and Judy Dempsey from the New York Times (9/15/05 again on Angela Merkel the unknown soon to be best-known woman of Germany (that's what she hopes). (full text)
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| Last Act Begins |
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| wboston (9/14/2005 12:38:40 PM) |
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As the German election campaign opens its final act, the distinct sound of grinding knives seems to be gathering pace just off stage. In the past few days, Angela Merkel seems to have lost what little control she held over her party. Her shadow finance minister Paul Kirchhof is clearly a liability and costing the party votes. For Merkel to dump Kirchhof now would be political suicid
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| Nothing Left to Lose: Lucky Schröder and Angry Joschka |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/13/2005 4:51:42 AM) |
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Five days left. Two scenarios do look most likely: A victory of CDU/CSU and FDP who want to form a coalition, or a a grand coalition. The new leftist party, led by Gregor Gysi (former PDS, former SED, the “party” that has ruled in the Eastern Germany before 1989) and by Oskar Lafontaine (former head of SPD, former candidate for chancellorship) and the Greens (led by Joschka Fischer) will, as far as one can see now, not be part of a governing coalition. But - this is a time of surpr
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| No grand coalition |
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| mfallet (9/12/2005 5:14:15 PM) |
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Six days left till election day. Still some Germans are undecisive, but polls are shifting. SPD gains points, CDU/CSU loses. Within the last days the challenging politicians say, that the one and only pol
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| Merkel and the economy |
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| admin (9/12/2005 8:53:24 AM) |
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Peter Gumbel from Time Magazine examins the effects of Merkel's proposed economic reforms - and also takes a sidekick at Kirchhof (9/11/05)
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| The end of a visionary |
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| admin (9/12/2005 8:49:09 AM) |
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Obviously nobody in the CDU/CSU or the FDP does like Kirchhof's ideas any more. Tony Patterson form The Independent reports from Berlin (9/12/05)
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| Kirchhof the miracle weapon firing backwards? |
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| admin (9/12/2005 8:38:51 AM) |
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Betrand Benoit and Hugh Williamson from the Financial Times France report on the latest shifts in the polls, Kirchhof and Merkel's struggle to keep her team together (9/11/05)
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| Still the East |
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| admin (9/12/2005 8:34:21 AM) |
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Stefan Berg, Steffen Winter and Andreas Wassermann of Spiegel online report on the situation in the East and its impact on the campaign (9/5/05)
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| Time for a change? |
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| Admin (9/12/2005 8:31:07 AM) |
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Charles Hodson of CNN goes on a journey through Germany, to hear what voters think. Today: Hamburg (9/11/05)
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| The economy |
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| Admin (9/12/2005 8:27:57 AM) |
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The TimesonlineUK's Michael Woodhead examines the Pros and Cons of another era 'Schroeder' for the economy (9/11/05)
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| Fighting for one big group of voters |
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| admin (9/12/2005 8:24:05 AM) |
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Bloomberg's Claudia Rach reports on the most feared group of voters, the "Don't knows" (9/11/05).
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| Everybody is waiting for the "Wirtschaftswunder" |
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| Admin (9/12/2005 8:22:14 AM) |
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suggests the New York Times in an article (UIP) published on Sept 11.
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| Four More Years with Schroder? |
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| wboston (9/11/2005 12:52:03 PM) |
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With the polls shifting, a three-way coalition of SPD, Greens and the FDP is beginning to look like a serious option. Should the math work out this way on election night, it is all but certain that Schroder and Fischer would reach out to Guido Westerwelle and try to find enough common ground to form a government. Sigmar Gabriel, former SPD governor of Lo
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| Lost in Economics: The Language of the Campaign |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/10/2005 11:46:05 AM) |
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The choice German voters have now is between fear and fear. With Schröder, the prospect is that nothing will change - that we only will have some more years (one, two, three?) of internal fight and therefore blockade between socialist and market-oriented forces on the left. To vote for Schröder means to vote for the maintenance of the status quo. But people know that maintaining the status quo means worsening the situation, as Germany needs - most people agree - major changes to maintain the l
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| SPD Comeback? |
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| wboston (9/9/2005 4:41:40 PM) |
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Believe it or not, Gerhard Schroder is beginning to look like a contender again. The polls are shifting so fast that even German media, such as today?s Spiegel Online, are beginning to entertain the possibility that the SPD could not only force the CDU into a grand coalition, but that Schroder may actually pull off another surprise victory. According to SPD officials, the logic behind the jump
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| Schroeder and Hamburg's not so gay mayor Ole von Beust |
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| admin (9/9/2005 11:28:08 AM) |
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SPIEGEL online quotes from interviews with Schroeder and Ole von Beust respectively(Hamburg's not-as-gay-as-Wowereit mayor) on winning the elections, CDU and homosexuality (9/9/05).
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| Oil and the Germans |
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| Admin (9/9/2005 10:06:23 AM) |
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Stefan Nicola from monstersandcritics comments on the fact that energy issues are suddely introduced to the campaign (9/8/05).
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| Burgers instead of Baguettes? |
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| Admin (9/9/2005 10:03:05 AM) |
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William Horsley from the BCC worldlwide reports on the changes that a CDU?CSU government would mean for Europe (9/8/05). Closer ties with the US, breaking the axis Berlin - Paris.....
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| Japan, Norway and Germany |
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| Admin (9/9/2005 10:00:41 AM) |
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Mattias Svenson from FXStreet reports on the upcoming elections in Japan, Norway and Germany (9/8/05)
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| Transatlantic DNA |
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| Admin (9/9/2005 9:41:43 AM) |
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Angela Merkel will be better for the Transatlantic Relationships, it's in her DNA - Daniel McHugh from the Seattle Post Intellegencer reports (9/8/05).
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| The Great Gambler: Gerhard Schröder's Campaign |
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| Ulrich Speck (9/9/2005 3:33:27 AM) |
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On September 18, German voters will elect political parties, not the chancellor. If they had to vote for a chancellor, the result would be clear: According to the polls, Gerhard Schröder would celebrate a triumph, he might get more than half of the votes, while Merkel might get a third.
All political observers agree that Schröder is, in the current campaign, even better than he ever was. And he was always a brilliant campaigner; this was the ticket that brought him on the top of SPD.
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| The role of the Trade Unions |
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| Susanne Schulz (9/8/2005 1:04:07 PM) |
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Since Schröder introduced the harsh social reform program Hartz IV, the relationship between the Trade Unions and the Social Democrats has chilled. During the demonstrations against Hartz IV, there was even a time of total silence between them. Although contact has been restored, it has not become as cordial as it used to be. And although most of the Trade Unionists are members of the SPD, for this year, there will be no recommendations in favour of the SPD. Usually, the Trade Unions recommend v
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| She's your guy.... |
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| Admin (9/8/2005 8:55:40 AM) |
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.....and stocks are high (Diamonds are a girl's best friends) The financial markets will react positively, predicts Forbes in case the CDU wins (9/8/05).
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| Attacks on Merkel |
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| Admin (9/8/2005 8:50:32 AM) |
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Bertrand Benoit and Hugh Williamson from Financial Times UK (9/8/05) comment on Schroeder's recent attacks.
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| Woman without feminism |
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| Admin (9/8/2005 8:47:18 AM) |
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Jody K Biehl reports in SPIEGEL Online about the impacts and non-impacts, a new female chancellor will have (9/7/05).
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| Reports from the CDU/CSU party congress |
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| Admin (9/8/2005 8:45:21 AM) |
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Ulrich Rippert from the World Socialist Website is - he has to - disgusted with the CDU/CSU's party congress (9/7/05)
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| What does a new government mean for the Jewish community |
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| Admin (9/8/2005 8:39:54 AM) |
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Trine Shaaf from the Jerusalem Post (9/7/050 reports (in a strangely Umlaut-free text).
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| Speculations about a SPD/CDU coalition |
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| mfallet (9/8/2005 8:33:57 AM) |
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After the debate on TV of course both sides present themselves as winners. Gerhard Schröder turned up as eloquent as everybody expected. Angela Merkel performed better than people anticipated. So Merkel seems to be the secret winner although Sch
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| Cliffhanger |
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| wboston (9/7/2005 12:26:18 PM) |
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Angela Merkel is beginning to look right chancellor-like. In today's debate in parliament, barring the unexpected the last before the election, she wore royal red and gave a flawless speech. The folks at Der Spiegel's online news site described Schroder and Fischer by con
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| Schroeder - a conspicuous failure? |
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| Admin (9/6/2005 9:02:33 AM) |
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Jon Vinocur in today's New York Times on the achievements (or non-achievements) of Gerhard Schroder
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| Germany and Japan |
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| Admin (9/6/2005 8:31:44 AM) |
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Jeffrey E. Garten in Newsweek's International Edition (9/4/05) draws a comparison between Germany and Japan and the upcoming elections in both countries.
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| What's in the press |
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| Admin (9/6/2005 8:21:07 AM) |
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Axel Gelfert in International Herald Tribune (UK) explains the role of Lafontaine (9/3/05), Judy Dempsey (International Herald Tribune France, 9/3/05) comments on the reactions and attempts of German politicians to exploit Katrina and M
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| The Substitute |
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| wboston (9/5/2005 1:18:28 PM) |
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As expected, Gerhard Schroeder used the first of two debates with his challenger Angela Merkel to focus the campaign more sharply on Paul Kirchhof, advocate of a flat-tax on income and the CDU's shadow finance minister. On various occasions during the debate Schroder portrayed Kirchhof, and indirectly Merkel and her policies, as cold and insensitive to daily realities of working cla
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