European Visions in Davos
January 27, 2012 Print PDFJudging from reactions to her speech at the World Economic Forum on Wednesday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel impressed the crowds. She apparently managed to do so without promising any additional German cash for the European rescue package. Instead, Merkel sketched out a roadmap for recovery.
Merkel’s Davos appearance is an attempt to liberate herself from the perception that her only focus is fiscal rectitude. Wisely, Merkel has now broadened her prescription to include greater competitiveness and solidarity. The Chancellor has signaled that she accepts that all European countries should focus on creating the conditions for growth as much as they should enforce budget discipline. Merkel’s one-sided obsession with austerity seems at last to have morphed into a much more rounded strategy.
However, this was not the only message Merkel had for her audience at the ski resort town of Davos, Switzerland. Her goal was to ingrain the notion that Germany’s commitment to Europe is unwavering. Her message is a simple one: Germany, as the traditional driving force behind further European integration, is back. In Davos, Merkel painted a picture of a not too distant future in which the European Commission could really play the role of a European government and in which the current principal decision making body, the Council (which is made up of heads of government and state), will merely be a second chamber, operating next to a strengthened European Parliament. When, and only when, these steps have been taken can Eurobonds become part of the toolkit needed to finance Europe.
Her words should dispel some of the doubt about Germany’s long term strategy and about the Euro’s fundamental sustainability, concerns that have very little to do with the economic reality and more to do with Europe’s history. They are centered around the question of Germany’s role in Europe.
For most observers, particularly in France, the United Kingdom (U.K.) and the United States (U.S.), it is still hard to accept the idea that big countries might willingly share sovereignty with others. For the U.S., sovereignty was the precondition for independence from its colonial masters. Not surprisingly, it plays a central role in the history of the country. Similarly, for many in France and the U.K. – two European nation states that were born more than five centuries ago – the European Union is still seen as the result of a delicate balance of power between sovereign nations born out of the Second World War. In the Gaullist tradition, Europe is a vehicle, not an end in itself. It is the tool needed to keep Germany under control and elevate France to top position in the old Continent. In the British tradition, the EU is a useful mechanism to prevent any single country from gaining the upper hand on the Continent. It also has the benefit of keeping markets open for business. It would be difficult to make the case in France or the UK that European integration is a matter of ‘historical destiny’. Seen from this perspective, it is the balance of power that really matters. Once the equilibrium shifts, the construction around it cracks.


News and Research emailed to you »
Support our Society, Culture, & Politics Program »
Alexander Privitera strikes the right chords.
In Britain and France sovereignty is strongly entrenched in the national narrative. It will be hard to turn it around and imbue the populace with new allegiance toward a still-nebulous entity. Trust in existing EU institutions is on the wane everywhere in the Union, including Germany.
Almost all federations that emerged in the past few centuries came into being in the wake of conflicts, wars, or threats to geopolitical stability (the 1957 Treaty of Rome and the 1871 Deutsches Kaiserreich falling into this category, too). A quest for security stood always at the core of giving up one type of allegiance in return for another. Somewhat perversely, Europe faces none of the above types of threats today. How much of a challenge this will present remains to be seen.
Another will be Germany’s position. Angela Merkel’s policy of support for European integration is admirable and needed. Yet she’s backed only feebly by her compatriots. True, Germany top Europe’s rankings among nations most of favor of shifting more authority to the EU for managing member states’ policies. On the other hand, the Germans never wanted the euro, and their support for the EU may well fade quickly when confronted with the hard-headed choice.
The road to a European federation will be arduous and winding. But it well be the only first-best choice for long-term stability on the continent.